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Uncertainty and Economic Activity: Evidence from Business Survey Data

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NBER2010-06-01 更新2025-01-04 收录
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What is the impact of time-varying business uncertainty on economic activity? Using partly confidential business survey data from the U.S. and Germany in structural VARs, we find that positive innovations to business uncertainty lead to prolonged declines in economic activity. In contrast, their

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2010-06-01
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