Modeled and observed trends at reference basins in the conterminous U.S. from October 1, 1983 through September 30, 2016

This data release contains trend results computed on the basis of modeled and observed daily streamflows at 502 reference gages across the conterminous U.S. from October 1, 1983 through September 30, 2016. Modeled daily streamflows were computed using the deterministic Precipitation Runoff Modeling System (PRMS), and five statistical techniques: Nearest-Neighbor Drainage Area Ratio (NNDAR), Map-Correlation Drainage Area Ratio (MCDAR), Ordinary Kriging of the logarithms of discharge per unit area (OKDAR), Nearest-Neighbor nonlinear spatial interpolation using flow duration curves (NNQPPQ), and Map-Correlation nonlinear spatial interpolation using flow duration curves (MCQPPQ). Observed daily streamflow data for the study gages were retrieved from the National Water Information System (NWIS). Study gages were selected from among Hydro-Climatic Data Network 2009 (HCDN-2009) gages in the GAGES-II dataset considered to be minimally affected by regulation, diversion, mining, or other anthropogenic activities. Results include trends in annual and monthly means, annual percentiles (1, 5, 10, 25, 50, 75, 90, 95, 99), annual 1-day high, 3-day high, and 7-day low, and annual snowmelt-related runoff timing for a subset of snowmelt dominated basins. Bias and volumetric efficiency statistics between observed and modeled streamflows also are provided.