"Ensemble Prediction of a Halo Coronal Mass Ejection Using Heliospheric Imagers" - model results and supplementary data

These files contain results from the study "Ensemble Prediction of a Halo Coronal Mass Ejection Using Heliospheric Imagers" by T. Amerstorfer et al. submitted to AGU Space Weather.<br>The file ElEvoHI_results.txt contains the resulting parameters of 339 model runs to predict the arrival time and speed of a coronal mass ejection at 0.4 and 1 AU.<br>The file mass_measurements.txt lists the CME mass derived from LASCO C2 and C3 images.<br>The file stereo-bHIelongation.txt contains the CME elongation measurements from STEREO-B heliospheric imager observations.<br>The file ElEvoHI_ensemble.mp4 is an animated visualization of the ensemble run. The black curves correspond to the CME shapes leading to the best prediction at MESSENGER and STEREO-B, respectively. The dark gray area is the entity of all other runs from the ensemble. The solid blue line marks the HI elongation measurements used for prediction. When the line is dashed, the HI observations are no longer used for prediction but can be seen as a proof of the modeled CME evolution.<br>The file softscruberrs.pdf contains two figures displaying the soft scrub error at the Spitzer Space Telescope during the studied time range.<br>SScrub_data_Spitzer.ecsv lists the numbers of soft scrub errors at Spitzer.<br>