Replication data and code: The Obligation to Stay: External Income Service, the Duration of Fiscal Adjustment, and the Persistence of Primary Specialization in Middle-Income Economies

Replication package (data and code) for the manuscript "The Obligation to Stay: External Income Service, the Duration of Fiscal Adjustment, and the Persistence of Primary Specialization in Middle-Income Economies". Contents: code/ — 15 Python and Node scripts covering panel assembly, estimation (fiscal reaction functions, local projections, split-panel jackknife, CCE, grouped fixed effects, permutation and randomization inference, the fourteen-design identification record) and document builds; data/ — 21 files, including the assembled 55-economy fiscal panel (2000–2023) and the 37-economy middle-income structural panel, with all inputs drawn exclusively from public sources (IMF WEO and BOP statistics, External Wealth of Nations, Bénétrix–Lane–Shambaugh currency composition, Bauer–Swanson monetary surprises, FRED, IMF CDIS, World Bank Pink Sheet and WDI, Worldwide Governance Indicators, IBGE PIM-PF). The README documents the pipeline order, sources, and the headline results the package reproduces. Deposited in draft with a reserved DOI at journal submission; to be published upon acceptance. Demais campos: Resource type = Dataset; License = Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (o README já declara MIT para o código); Keywords: fiscal reaction function; primary income; external constraint; local projections; middle-income economies; replication package; Publication date 2026-08-14 está certo; Language: English. Preencheu, salvou o rascunho — está feito. O pacote de submissão da SCED está 100% completo.