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The Myth of Long-Horizon Predictability

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NBER2005-12-01 更新2025-01-04 收录
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The prevailing view in finance is that the evidence for long-horizon stock return predictability is significantly stronger than that for short horizons. We show that for persistent regressors, a characteristic of most of the predictive variables used in the literature, the estimators are almost

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2005-12-01
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