Absolute number of events and deaths prevented from a 10% SSB consumption reduction under worst and best case scenarios from 2013–2022 in California (Percent change).

*Assumes a moderate BMI effect of the reduction in SSB consumption: 39% caloric compensation that will result from replacing 1/3 of the reduced SSB consumption with water, 1/3 with diet drinks, and the remaining 1/3 with other caloric beverages such as milk and juice.**Includes new and recurrent myocardial infarctions.†Minimal estimated effect was calculated based on no BMI effect, an adjusted RR of diabetes of 1.07 per SSB serving per day, and a 0.09 mmHg reduction in systolic blood pressure in men only.‡Maximal estimated effect was calculated based on a strong BMI effect, an adjusted RR of diabetes of 1.26 per SSB serving per day, and a 1.47 and 1.48 mmHg reduction in systolic blood pressure in men and women, respectively.