Watanabe2018_Simple markov model

Simple Markov model. There are 3 disease states: Healthy, Sick, and Dead, where the Dead state is terminal. The yearly transition probabilities are: Healthy to Dead: 0.01; Healthy to Sick: 0.2 for Male and 0.1 for Female; Sick to Healthy: 0.1; Sick to Dead: 0.3. The transition probability now depends on the cohort (Male or Female) and can be expressed as a function of a Boolean covariate Male. Initial conditions: Healthy = (50 Male, 50 Female), Sick = (0,0) and Dead = (0,0). Output: Number of men and women in each disease state for years 1-10.