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Understanding Rationality and Disagreement in House Price Expectations

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NBER2023-07-01 更新2025-01-04 收录
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https://www.nber.org/papers/w31516
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Professional house price forecast data are consistent with a rational model where agents must learn about the parameters of the house price growth process and the underlying state of the housing market. Slow learning about the long-run mean can generate forecast bias, a response of forecasts to
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2023-07-01
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