Malaria disease and grading system dataset from public hospitals reflecting complicated and uncomplicated conditions

Malaria is the leading cause of death in the African region. Data mining can help extract valuable knowledge from available data in the healthcare sector. This makes it possible to train models to predict patient health faster than in clinical trials. Implementations of various machine learning algorithms such as K-Nearest Neighbors, Bayes Theorem, Logistic Regression, Support Vector Machines, and Multinomial Naïve Bayes (MNB), etc., has been applied to malaria datasets in public hospitals, but there are still limitations in modeling using the Naive Bayes multinomial algorithm. This study applies the MNB model to explore the relationship between 15 relevant attributes of public hospitals data. The goal is to examine how the dependency between attributes affects the performance of the classifier. MNB creates transparent and reliable graphical representation between attributes with the ability to predict new situations. The model (MNB) has 97% accuracy. It is concluded that this model outperforms the GNB classifier which has 100% accuracy and the RF which also has 100% accuracy.

Methods
Prior to collection of data, the researcher was be guided by all ethical training certification on data collection, right to confidentiality and privacy reserved called Institutional Review Board (IRB). Data was be collected from the manual archive of the Hospitals purposively selected using stratified sampling technique, transform the data to electronic form and store in MYSQL database called malaria. Each patient file was extracted and review for signs and symptoms of malaria then check for laboratory confirmation result from diagnosis. The data was be divided into two tables: the first table was called data1 which contain data for use in phase 1 of the classification, while the second table data2 which contains data for use in phase 2 of the classification.

Data Source Collection
Malaria incidence data set is obtained from Public hospitals from 2017 to 2021. These are the data used for modeling and analysis. Also, putting in mind the geographical location and socio-economic factors inclusive which are available for patients inhabiting those areas. Naive Bayes (Multinomial) is the model used to analyze the collected data for malaria disease prediction and grading accordingly. 

Data Preprocessing:

Data preprocessing shall be done to remove noise and outlier.

Transformation:

The data shall be transformed from analog to electronic record.

Data Partitioning

The data which shall be collected will be divided into two portions; one portion of the data shall be extracted as a training set, while the other portion will be used for testing. The training portion shall be taken from a table stored in a database and will be called data which is training set1, while the training portion taking from another table store in a database is shall be called data which is training set2.

The dataset was split into two parts: a sample containing 70% of the training data and 30% for the purpose of this research. Then, using MNB classification algorithms implemented in Python, the models were trained on the training sample. On the 30% remaining data, the resulting models were tested, and the results were compared with the other Machine Learning models using the standard metrics.

Classification and prediction:

Base on the nature of variable in the dataset, this study will use Naïve Bayes (Multinomial) classification techniques; Classification phase 1 and Classification phase 2. The operation of the framework is illustrated as follows:

i. Data collection and preprocessing shall be done.

ii. Preprocess data shall be stored in a training set 1 and training set 2. These datasets shall be used during classification.

 iii. Test data set is shall be stored in database test data set.

 iv. Part of the test data set must be compared for classification using classifier 1 and the remaining part must be classified with classifier 2 as follows:

Classifier phase 1: It classify into positive or negative classes. If the patient is having malaria, then the patient is classified as positive (P), while a patient is classified as negative (N) if the patient does not have malaria.  

Classifier phase 2: It classify only data set that has been classified as positive by classifier 1, and then further classify them into complicated and uncomplicated class label. The classifier will also capture data on environmental factors, genetics, gender and age, cultural and socio-economic variables. The system will be designed such that the core parameters as a determining factor should supply their value.