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Comparing Greenbook and Reduced Form Forecasts using a Large Realtime Dataset

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NBER2007-09-01 更新2025-01-04 收录
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https://www.nber.org/papers/w13397
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Many recent papers have found that atheoretical forecasting methods using many predictors give better predictions for key macroeconomic variables than various small-model methods. The practical relevance of these results is open to question, however, because these papers generally use ex post
提供机构:
美国国家经济研究局
创建时间:
2007-09-01
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