[SAMPLE] GapMaps Crime Risk Data by AGS | USA and Canada| 5 year projections | Census Block Level

GapMaps provides Crime Risk data sourced from Applied Geographic Solutions (AGS) which has been used by thousands of companies for over 20 years, providing valuable comparative information on the spatial patterns of crime.

Crime Risk Data includes crime risk indexes and projections on detailed crime types like murder and motor vehicle theft, and summary indexes of crimes against persons, crimes against property and overall crime risk. Crime Risk Data is available at the highly detailed census block level to capture the different risk levels across business and residential places. It is derived from an extensive analysis of several years of crime reports from the vast majority of law enforcement jurisdictions nationwide.

The crimes included in the Crime Risk Data database are the “Part 1” crimes and include murder, rape, robbery, assault, burglary, theft, and motor vehicle theft. These categories are the primary reporting categories used by the FBI in its Uniform Crime Report (UCR), with the exception of Arson, for which data is very inconsistently reported at the jurisdictional level. In accordance with the reporting procedures using in the UCR reports, aggregate indexes have been prepared for personal and property crimes separately, as well as a total index. While this provides a useful measure of the relative “overall” crime rate in an area, it must be recognized that these are unweighted indexes, in that a murder is weighted no more heavily than a purse snatching in the computation. For this reason, caution is advised when using any of the aggregate index values. In 2020, 5-Year Projections were added to the database.

Use cases:
1. Insurance underwriting and risk mitigation.
2. Evaluating the security measures needed to protect employees and customers at retail facilities.
3. The study of the effects of neighborhood crime on wellness and health care outcomes.

Methodology:
Crime is tracked for multiple years using both FBI aggregate crime reports and for many parts of the country at the individual incident level. A complex set of statistical models are used to estimate and forecast risk of each individual crime type by using land use data in conjunction with demographic and business characteristics.