U.S. Wind and Solar PV Supply Curves with Future Land-use Change

This dataset provides future supply curves representing the total resource potential for land-based wind and solar photovoltaic (PV) deployment in the conterminous United States after accounting for the impact of land-use and land-cover change (LULC). We use LULC projections from 2010 to 2050 developed based on the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Special Report on Emission Scenarios. The LULC projections are subsequently fed into the renewable energy potential model (reV), which estimates total available wind and solar capacity after excluding non-developable land. Supply curves are provided for four IPCC scenarios in 2050: A1B, A2, B1, and B2. As a baseline, we also provide the supply curve from the B2 scenario in 2010.

In addition to the supply curves, we also provide representative wind and solar generation profiles for each supply curve point. These generation profiles are provided as capacity factors and are based on a 2012 weather year using NSRDB and WindToolkit resource data.

For more details on the supply curve and profile datasets included here please refer to README. Additional information on the supply curves and the LULC projections used to generate them, as well as an analysis of their impact on wind and solar deployment under decarbonization can be found in the publication linked below: "U.S. Wind and Solar PV Supply Curves with Future Land-use Change Publication".

本数据集提供了未来供应曲线，描绘了在考虑土地利用和土地覆盖变化（LULC）影响后，美国大陆风能和地面太阳能光伏（PV）部署的总体资源潜力。本数据集采用基于《政府间气候变化专门报告：排放情景》的2010年至2050年的LULC预测。随后，这些预测被输入到可再生能源潜力模型（reV）中，该模型在排除不可开发土地后，估算出可用的总风能和太阳能容量。供应曲线涵盖了2050年四个IPCC情景：A1B、A2、B1和B2。作为基准，我们还提供了B2情景下的2010年供应曲线。此外，我们还提供了每个供应曲线点的代表性风能和太阳能发电曲线。这些发电曲线以容量系数的形式提供，基于2012年的天气年份，利用NSRDB和WindToolkit资源数据。有关此处包含的供应曲线和轮廓数据集的更多详细信息，请参阅README。关于供应曲线和用于生成它们的LULC预测的附加信息，以及它们对脱碳条件下风能和太阳能部署影响的分析，可在以下链接的出版物中找到：“美国风能和太阳能光伏供应曲线与未来土地利用变化”