Serial correlation of tropical cyclone track and intensity forecasts
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Prior studies showed that tropical cyclone track forecasts created every 24 h or 12 h were serially correlated so that only every other forecast was independent of the others. Forecasts are now initialized more frequently than those used in the earlier studies (every 6 h), requiring a reassessment of the serial correlation.
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NOAA创建时间：
2026-02-03
