遇见数据集

Replication data for: Fertility and Wars: The Case of World War I in France

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ICPSR2014-01-01 更新2026-04-16 收录
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During World War I the birth rate in France fell by 50%. Why? I build a model of fertility choices where the war implies a positive probability that a wife remains alone, a partially-compensated loss of a husband's income, and a temporary decline in productivity followed by faster growth. I calibrate the model's key parameters using pre-war data. I find that it accounts for 91% of the decline of the birth rate. The main determinant of this result is the loss of expected income associated with the risk that a wife remains alone.

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2014-01-01
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