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Dynamic Risk Adjustment in Markets with Persistent Risk and Manipulable Signals: Market Design for Health Insurance

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NBER2026-06-01 更新2026-06-16 收录
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Risk adjustment is a payment mechanism, not only a prediction problem. I extend optimal risk adjustment to dynamic insurance markets in which plans capture future residuals from persistent risk. Under an efficiency criterion, payments should reflect expected profits and losses over the enrollee

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2026-06-01
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