Forecast of the competitiveness of EU regions in the conditions of climate change

The database contains forecasts of the values of climate change competitiveness (Regional Climate Change Competitiveness Index) of EU regions (NUTS2) and countries. The calculations were made for the period 2022-2032 and for period 2022-2100 using the ARIMA method.

The Regional Climate Change Competitiveness Index is a mean to evaluate the ability of a region to use factors of competitiveness for the formation of a competitive position of the region under climate change conditions.The structure of the index stems from the premise that it constitutes a function of pillars that can be grouped into six broad sub-indexes: Basic, Natural, Efficiency, Innovation, Sectoral, and Social.Twenty-eight pillars were used in order to determine the main index.  The higher the value of Regional Climate Change Competitiveness Index, the higher the level of regional competitiveness. For detailed methodology see: Karman, A.; Miszczuk, A.; Bronisz, U. Regional Climate Change Competitiveness—Modelling Approach. Energies 2021, 14, 3704. https://doi.org/10.3390/en14123704.

The forecast can be used by regional authorities to model regional policy (policy-mix, tools, measures) against the climate change.

Funding: National Science Centre Poland, „Modelling of climate change impacts on regional competitiveness” 2019/35/B/HS5/01548