Leak-controlled, reproducible next-day staffing-pressure forecasting from NHS SitRep flows: derived artefacts

Derived, de-identified artefacts for the study “Leak-controlled, reproducible next-day staffing-pressure forecasting from NHS SitRep flows: a provider-day prototype”. The dataset contains provider-day SPI forecasts, calibration and discrimination metrics, temporal stability summaries, threshold/alert-volume tables, ablation results, SHAP summaries, and figure exports used in the manuscript. All artefacts are derived from public NHS England aggregates (Urgent & Emergency Care SitRep and KH03 Bed Availability/Occupancy); no raw NHS data are included. The accompanying code is available at: https://github.com/megumi72/nhs-spi-forecasting