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Diagnostic Expectations and Credit Cycles

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NBER2016-05-01 更新2025-01-04 收录
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We present a model of credit cycles arising from diagnostic expectations a belief formation mechanism based on Kahneman and Tverskys (1972) representativeness heuristic. In this formulation, when forming their beliefs agents overweight future outcomes that have become more likely in light of

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2016-05-01
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