Early and Accurate Recession Detection Using Classifiers on the Anticipation-Precision Frontier
收藏NBER2025-07-01 更新2025-07-19 收录
下载链接：
https://www.nber.org/papers/w34015
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资源简介：
This paper develops a new algorithm for detecting US recessions in real time. The algorithm constructs millions of recession classifiers by combining unemployment and vacancy data to reduce detection noise. Classifiers are then selected to avoid both false negatives (missed recessions) and false
提供机构：
美国国家经济研究局
创建时间：
2025-07-01
