Relative posterior probabilities with 95% credibility intervals for each scenario using logistic regression approaches.
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The logistic regression used to compute posterior probabilities considered the 40 000 simulated data sets closest to the observed data (1% of the total number of simulations performed for the four scenarios). Scenario 1 is favoured among the four competing scenarios, closely followed by scenario 2.
创建时间:
2012-05-09



