Elasticity-Based Scenario Modelling of Circular Economy Impacts on Emissions in the EU27 (2015–2050)

This dataset supports the research article "Circularity and Climate Mitigation in the EU27: An Elasticity-Based Scenario Analysis to 2050" and contains all underlying data, analysis outputs, and model diagnostics. The study integrates Eurostat material flow and emissions data to assess the climate-mitigation potential of circular-economy (CE) strategies in the EU27. It applies a multi-method approach including: Material-to-Carbon Accounting (MCA) Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index (LMDI) decomposition Elasticity regression modelling Monte Carlo-based uncertainty quantification Scenario analysis through 2030 and 2050 The repository includes both raw inputs and processed outputs required to reproduce all figures, tables, and policy simulations in the manuscript.