Distribution Future Energy Scenarios Network Scenario Headroom Report (DFES NSHR)

Our Distributed Future Energy Scenarios Network Scenario Headroom Report (DFES NSHR) is part of our Network Development Plan (NDP). The April 2024 DFES NSHR dataset uses our 2023 network, loading and scenario data, with the Long Term Development Statement November 2023 as baseline.For further information on the NDP and the methodology to produce the DFES NSHR dataset please see Long Term Development Statement and Network Development Plan Landing PageThe DFES NSHR indicates the amount of unused network capacity for demand and generation over time to 2050 on our Bulk Supply Point and Primary substations. It shows where we may need to further reinforce our substations or procure flexibility services beyond our existing plans, if the energy system develops as indicated in each of our scenarios. Since the report indicates unused substation capacity in each year, please note unused capacity may be contractually committed to customers. Those seeking connection should contact our connections gateway to understand the latest view of available capacity.The headroom tables show firm capacity - more capacity may be available for customers on a non-firm, flexible or curtailable connection. The demand headroom tables reflect our latest firm capacity figures for demand, consistent with the May 2024 LTDS.As noted in the methodology, unused substation capacity (headroom) is indicative and may be already contractually-committed to specific customers.Methodological approachForecasting: The process begins with forecasting future network loads and demands. This often involves scenario planning to predict how energy consumption and generation will evolve over the next 5 to 10 years.Data Collection: Gathering data from various sources, including historical usage patterns, projected growth in renewable energy, and changes in regulatory frameworks.Analysis of Network Capacity: Assessing the current capacity of the network to identify areas where reinforcement or upgrades are necessary. This includes evaluating substations and distribution lines.Option Development: Creating potential solutions to address identified constraints. This may involve traditional reinforcement methods or exploring flexibility services that can alleviate pressure on the network.Stakeholder Engagement: Consulting with stakeholders, including local authorities, developers, and energy providers, to gather input and ensure the plans align with community needs and regulatory requirements.Reporting: Compiling findings into a structured report that outlines the methodology, assumptions, and planned interventions. This report is typically made available to the public for transparency.Review and Update: The methodology is reviewed periodically to incorporate new data, stakeholder feedback, and changes in energy policy or technology.OtherDownload dataset information: Metadata (JSON)Definitions of key terms related to this dataset can be found in the Open Data Portal Glossary: https://ukpowernetworks.opendatasoft.com/pages/glossary/

本《分布式未来能源场景网络场景容量报告》（DFES NSHR）系我方网络发展规划（NDP）的重要组成部分。2024年4月的DFES NSHR数据集基于我方2023年的网络、负载及场景数据，以2023年11月发布的长期发展声明为基准。关于NDP及DFES NSHR数据集制作方法的详细信息，请参阅《长期发展声明》和《网络发展规划》信息页面。DFES NSHR旨在展示至2050年期间，我方主要供应点和变电站的未使用网络容量，以及需求与发电的动态变化。该报告显示，若能源系统的发展如各场景所示，我方可能需要进一步加固变电站或采购额外的灵活性服务，以超越现有计划。鉴于报告中逐年指出未使用的变电站容量，请注意，这些容量可能已通过合同形式承诺给客户。有意接入者请通过我们的连接网关了解最新的可用容量。容量表展示了固定容量，对于客户而言，在非固定、灵活或可削减的连接中，可能还有更多的容量可供使用。需求容量表反映了我们最新的固定容量数据，与2024年5月的长期发展声明保持一致。如方法所述，未使用的变电站容量（容量空间）仅为指示性，可能已经通过合同形式承诺给特定的客户。方法论：预测：预测未来网络负载和需求的过程始于预测未来网络负载和需求。这通常涉及情景规划，以预测未来5至10年内能源消耗和发电的演变。数据收集：从多个来源收集数据，包括历史使用模式、可再生能源的增长预测以及监管框架的变化。网络容量分析：评估网络当前容量，以确定需要加强或升级的区域。这包括评估变电站和配电线路。方案开发：为解决确定的限制条件创建潜在解决方案。这可能涉及传统的加强方法，或探索可以减轻网络压力的灵活性服务。利益相关者参与：与包括地方当局、开发商和能源供应商在内的利益相关者协商，以收集意见并确保规划符合社区需求和监管要求。报告：将发现整理成结构化的报告，概述方法、假设和计划干预措施。该报告通常向公众公开，以确保透明度。审查与更新：方法论定期审查，以纳入新数据、利益相关者反馈以及能源政策或技术的变化。其他下载数据集信息：元数据（JSON），有关此数据集相关关键术语的定义可在开放数据门户术语表中找到：https://ukpowernetworks.opendatasoft.com/pages/glossary/