Comparison of ARGO to benchmark models across countries and evaluation metrics.

The bold face value is the best value among all methods according to each performance metric. Google Dengue Trends was not published for Taiwan and therefore the GDT benchmark is not available for Taiwan. The assessment period for the five regions, chosen based on the common available periods for all methods, are: Brazil (Mar 2006–Dec 2012), Mexico (Mar 2006–Aug 2015), Thailand (Oct 2010–Aug 2015), Singapore (Feb 2008–Aug 2015), Taiwan (Jan 2013–Mar 2016). The error value is relative to the naive, whose absolute error value is reported in the parenthesis.