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Random Walk Expectations and the Forward Discount Puzzle

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NBER2007-06-01 更新2025-01-04 收录
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Two well-known, but seemingly contradictory, features of exchange rates are that they are close to a random walk while at the same time exchange rate changes are predictable by interest rate differentials. In this paper we investigate whether these two features of the data may in fact be related. In

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2007-06-01
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