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Brexit Uncertainty and Trade Disintegration

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NBER2018-12-01 更新2025-01-04 收录
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We estimate the uncertainty effects of preferential trade disagreements. Increases in the probability of Britains exit from the European Union (Brexit) reduce bilateral export values and trade participation. These effects are increasing in trade policy risk across products and asymmetric for UK and

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2018-12-01
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