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Uncertainty Shocks as Second-Moment News Shocks

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NBER2017-09-01 更新2025-01-04 收录
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We provide evidence on the relationship between aggregate uncertainty and the macroeconomy. Identifying uncertainty shocks using methods from the news shocks literature, the analysis finds that innovations in realized stock market volatility are robustly followed by contractions, while shocks to

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2017-09-01
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