Trilliant Health's National Demand Forecast

**Overview**
Trilliant Health’s demand forecast leverages GLMMs in combination with 100B+ rows of claims data to project future demand for healthcare services over a 10-year horizon. The national forecast, which is updated quarterly, is publicly available via Databricks Marketplace, with projections by service line and demographic segments. Premium licenses offer more granular geographies, with forecasts by state, core-based statistical area and zip code.

**Use cases**
* Develop strategic plans to drive return on invested capital;
* Create financial projections based on evolving market demand for healthcare technologies, care modalities, pharmaceuticals and medical devices;
* Inform provider needs analysis with a detailed understanding of demand at the service-line level.

**Product details**
Trilliant Health's demand forecast consists of the following tables, each corresponding to the described service line.

- demand_forecast_emergency_us
- demand_forecast_medical_us
- demand_forecast_pcp_us
- demand_forecast_physical_therapy_us
- demand_forecast_radiology_us
- demand_forecast_surgical_us
- demand_forecast_urgent_care_us

Each table has the following fields:

- Segment Parameters
- geoid
- name
- inpatient
- age_group_start
- gender
- year
- severity - _Emergency Department forecast only_
- icd_chapter - _Medical, Urgent Care and Primary Care forecasts only_
- icd_section - _Medical, Urgent Care and Primary Care forecasts only_
- body_region - _Physical Therapy forecast only_
- body_sub_region - _Physical Therapy forecast only_
- modality - _Radiology forecast only_
- service_line - _Surgical forecast only_
- procedure_sub_type - _Surgical forecast only_
- Segment Forecast
- population
- count_mean
- count_percentile_10_0
- count_percentile_25_0
- count_percentile_50_0
- count_percentile_75_0
- count_percentile_90_0
- ir_mean
- ir_observed
- ir_percentile_10_0
- ir_percentile_25_0
- ir_percentile_50_0
- ir_percentile_75_0
- ir_percentile_90_0

**Additional Insights**
To learn more about Trilliant Health's Demand Forecast offering, please explore the starter notebook provided, or [the explainer on our Tech Blog](https://medium.com/trilliant-health/how-to-build-a-demand-forecast-fd7c7f1ce780).