Prediction Market Analysis OLD

Based on datasets from the Good Judgment Project (part of the IARPA forecasting tournament run from September 2011 to June 2015 ) further analysis was conducted with a focus on prediction market accuracy. The analysis happened with the help of R, a free software environment for statistical computing and graphics.基于来自良好判断项目（该项目的部分内容属于自2011年9月至2015年6月举行的IARPA预测竞赛）的数据集，进一步的分析工作得以开展，其核心目标在于评估预测市场的准确性。分析过程得益于R语言，这是一种用于统计计算和图形的免费软件环境。