Economists have long viewed recessions as contributing to increasing inequality. However, this conclusion is largely based on data from a period in which inequality was increasing over time. This pape

NBER2004-05-01 更新60

OECD Economic Outlook, Interim Report September 2009

宏观经济预测

经济周期分析

This Interim Report updates projections made in the June 2009 issue of OECD Economic Outlook (Number 85). It finds that recovery from the global recession is likely to arrive earlier than had been exp

Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development30

Data and Code for: Estimating Hysteresis Effects

经济周期分析

劳动力市场

In this paper we identify demand shocks that can have a permanent effect on output through hysteresis effects. We call these shocks permanent demand shocks. They are found to be quantitatively importa

DataCite Commons2025-03-27 更新60

Business Cycle Accounting

宏观经济建模

经济周期分析

We propose a simple method to help researchers develop quantitative models of economic fluctuations. The method rests on the insight that many models are equivalent to a prototype growth model with ti

NBER2004-03-01 更新50