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A Multi-Scale Bayesian Stochastic Optimal Control Framework for Micro-Robotic Swarm-Guided Acute Stroke Intervention (NSAI-HENSI/IS): Rigorous Poroelastic Mechanics, Hamilton--Jacobi--Bellman Formalism, and Adaptive Neural Scaffolds for In Silico Functional Recovery Prediction

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Zenodo2026-04-10 更新2026-05-26 收录
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Background: Intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) and acute ischemic stroke (AIS) remain the leading causes of neurological mortality and permanent disability globally. The Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 documented approximately 3.4 million incident ICH cases, 3.3 million deaths, and 79.5 million disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), with AIS imposing a substantially greater absolute burden. Landmark randomized controlled trials---STICH II, MISTIE III, MIND, DAWN, and DEFUSE 3---demonstrate constrained efficacy: favorable functional outcomes (modified Rankin Scale, mRS 0--3) plateau at 41--50%, with 30-day mortality of 9--25% and unresolved secondary injury cascades (perihematomal edema, excitotoxicity, oxidative stress, blood--brain barrier disruption). The fundamental pathophysiological limitation is the absence of closed-loop, real-time, tissue-adaptive intervention that simultaneously addresses evacuation/salvage, interstitial pressure homeostasis, and immediate regenerative support.Methods: We formulate the NeuroSwarm AI-Guided framework (NSAI-HENSI for ICH; NSAI-IS for AIS) as a rigorously grounded multi-scale stochastic control problem. Macro-scale brain tissue mechanics are governed by the full nonlinear Biot poroelasticity equations, with constitutive parameters validated against experimentally measured brain parenchyma properties (shear modulus G ∈ [0.5, 2.0] kPa, permeability κ ∈ [10^{-15}, 10^{-12}] m²). Micro-scale dynamics employ Itô stochastic reaction-diffusion-advection PDEs derived from first principles via the Fokker--Planck--Kolmogorov forward equation. Optimal control is formulated via the exact stochastic Hamilton--Jacobi--Bellman (HJB) equation, and a provably convergent reduced-order approximation is constructed via the separation principle for Linear-Quadratic-Gaussian (LQG) systems. The algebraic matrix Riccati equation is solved analytically (scalar case) and numerically via the Schur decomposition. Bayesian parameter identification employs the Metropolis--Hastings Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithm with geometric ergodicity guarantees. Global sensitivity analysis utilizes the variance-based Saltelli--Sobol decomposition and Morris elementary-effects screening. Quantitative validation is performed through 10,000-run Monte Carlo simulations (seed = 42, Python 3.12/NumPy/SciPy) calibrated to aggregated clinical endpoints from the five landmark trials and GBD 2021 epidemiological data.Results: The explicit Riccati solution yields an optimal stabilizing feedback gain K* ≈ -3.213 (closed-loop eigenvalue λ_CL ≈ -3.163 < 0, guaranteeing exponential stability). Posterior mean favorable outcome probabilities are 74.05% (ICH) and 78.27% (AIS) versus 41.92% under standard of care---a composite superiority index of 79.0% (95% credible interval: 72--86%). Saltelli--Sobol decomposition attributes 68% of output variance to evacuation/lysis kinetics (S₁ = 0.68), 22% to scaffold regenerative effects (S₂ = 0.22), and 10% to parameter interactions (S_T = 0.10). Pore pressure trajectories remain strictly below the 5 kPa/mm safety threshold after t = 3 h, directly validating the HJB-constrained feedback law. The framework extends to traumatic brain injury (TBI) with predicted 68--82% ICP spike reduction.Conclusions: The NSAI framework establishes a mathematically rigorous, computationally validated, and fully reproducible normative standard for acute brain rescue. All theoretical claims satisfy formal Popperian falsifiability criteria with quantitatively specified refutation thresholds. No external funding was received.

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Zenodo
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2026-04-10
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