The common oil shocks and growth in African net importers: new evidence from the Russia-Ukraine energy crisis era
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This dataset supports research examining how oil price shocks affect economic growth in African net oil-importing countries. The central hypothesis posits that increases in real oil prices expressed in domestic currency to capture both international price movements and exchange rate transmission exert negative effects on real GDP per capita growth through multiple channels: supply-side cost increases, demand-side income transfers to oil exporters, exchange rate depreciation amplification, fiscal crowding-out via energy subsidies, and investment delays due to heightened uncertainty. We employ Cross-Sectionally Augmented Autoregressive Distributed Lag (CS-ARDL) methodology to account for common exposure to global oil price shocks and regional interdependencies while accommodating heterogeneous country-specific responses.
本数据集旨在支撑针对非洲石油净进口国的研究,以考察石油价格冲击对其经济增长的影响。核心假说指出,以本币计价的实际石油价格上涨(兼顾国际油价波动与汇率传导效应),会通过多渠道对人均实际GDP增速产生负面影响:供给侧成本上升、需求侧向石油出口国的收入转移、汇率贬值的放大效应、能源补贴引致的财政挤出效应,以及不确定性加剧引发的投资延迟。本研究采用截面增广自回归分布滞后(Cross-Sectionally Augmented Autoregressive Distributed Lag, CS-ARDL)方法,以控制各国共同面临的全球石油价格冲击与区域联动效应,同时兼顾各国异质性的特定响应。




