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Argentina general election latest polls by candidate 2023

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www.statista.com2025-01-08 收录
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https://www.statista.com/statistics/1376465/argentina-election-poll-candidate/
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After the first round of the elections on October 22nd, the latest opinion poll from Atlas Intel presented a not so contested election in Argentina between Javier Milei (LLA) and Sergio Massa (Frente). Milei is the candidate leading the polls with an advantage of over eight percentage points ahead of the second place Massa. According to different polls, the situation is still tossed in the air when comparing political parties with LLA and Frente having the advantage over the rest of the political parties. Polls by demographics During a poll in June 2023, the survey depicted a clear picture of the gender division in the voting intention. For both genders, the second favorite party was Todos, the JxC was the party with the highest female voting intention, and LLA for males. The was also a clear division among different age groups, the older generations had a higher voting intention for the classic ideologies on Todos and JxC, meanwhile, the younger generations were more inclined to vote for new parties such as LLA. Argentina’s main problems Without doubt, one of the main concerns of the Argentine population is inflation. Since 1946, the country has been terrorized by the constant and expected price increases, creating economic turmoil for households, companies, and the government. Between 2022 and 2023, inflation started to rise again reaching 72 percent in 2022 and expected to reach almost 100 percent in 2023. The second main problem, according to public opinion, is corruption, which could be one of the main reasons why the Argentine voting population is turned to vote for parties other than the current ruling party.

在10月22日的首轮选举之后,Atlas Intel的最新民调展示了在阿根廷,Javier Milei(LLA)与Sergio Massa(Frente)之间的选举竞争并不激烈。Milei凭借超过八个百分点的优势领先于位居第二的Massa。根据不同的民调数据,当与LLA和Frente等政治党派相比,其他政治党派则处于劣势时,当前的局势仍然处于不确定之中。在2023年6月的一次民调中,调查揭示了投票意向在性别上的明显分化。对于男女两性而言,第二受欢迎的政党均为Todos,JxC是女性投票意向最高的政党,而LLA则是男性的首选。不同年龄段的选民之间也存在明显的投票意向差异,老年群体更倾向于支持Todos和JxC等传统意识形态,而年轻一代则更倾向于支持LLA等新兴政党。无疑,阿根廷民众的主要关切之一是通货膨胀。自1946年以来,该国一直受制于持续且预期的价格上涨,给家庭、公司和政府造成了经济动荡。在2022年至2023年间,通货膨胀开始再次上升,2022年达到72%,预计2023年将达到近100%。根据公众意见,第二大问题是腐败,这可能是阿根廷选民转向支持除当前执政党以外的其他政党的主要原因。
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背景与挑战
背景概述
该数据集提供了2023年阿根廷大选的最新民调数据,按候选人细分。数据显示,在2023年11月5日至9日对8,971名16岁及以上受访者的调查中,Javier Milei(Avanza Libertad)以48.6%的支持率领先,Sergio Massa(Frente de Todos)以44.6%紧随其后,未回答/其他选项占6.8%。数据集反映了第一轮选举后两位主要候选人竞争激烈,但Milei具有明显优势的民调态势。
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