The marginal relative risk of each stage of disease collected from published studies on COVID-19 and conditional relative risk estimated by the risk model for each risk factor on rates of hospitalization given infection, (<i>H</i>|<i>I</i>); ICU admission given hospitalization, (<i>Q</i>|<i>H</i>); and death given ICU admission, (<i>D</i>|<i>Q</i>) (95% credible interval).

The reference group is individuals with no comorbidity, , and non-smoking.