Temporal and spatial patterns of hydroclimate variability related to the Pacific Decadal Oscillation in Michigan, USA

Teleconnections play an influential role in driving atmospheric circulation and hydroclimatic variability at regional and global scales. While hydroclimatic conditions are associated with the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) throughout North America, to date there has been limited study on the influence of the PDO on the hydroclimate of Michigan. Using statistical analyses, this study quantified the mean monthly streamflow, precipitation and temperature characteristics in climate divisions and stream gage stations in both the Upper and Lower Peninsulas of Michigan during the warm (+) and cool (-) phases of the PDO from 1967 to 2018. Streamflow is greater statewide during PDO+ phases compared to during PDO- phases, and most prominent from August to February. During the peak month of streamflow difference by PDO phase, November, there was a streamflow increase of nearly 26% during PDO+ phases compared to the long-term mean. In relation, mean monthly precipitation increased (decreased) statewide from August to November during PDO+ (PDO-) phases, with decreased (increased) monthly precipitation from December to July. This study advances our understanding of the PDO’s influence on hydroclimatic variability in Michigan, presenting novel results at intra-seasonal scales in this highly impactful and populated region.