Crude Supply Risk

**Overview** This index captures the price influence of changes in oil supply on a weekly basis. Factors are assessed on the country level: A positive score indicates a bullish supply impact on price, whereas a negative score indicates a bearish impact. The absolute value of the score is an indicator of the magnitude of the impact. The global price risk index is an aggregate of country-level risk scores, weighted by the country’s share of global crude and condensate capacity. It is comprised of six factors: - Political Violence score measures the likelihood of state failure, civil war, coups and coup attempts, revolution and/or public unrest, and terrorism in a country, based on recent history and current dynamics - Geopolitical Risk score measures the degree to which a country is vulnerable to the threat of external war or conflict with its neighbours, as well as risks emanating from broader geopolitical tensions including sanctions and/or reputational risk - Export Risk score is an assessment of constraints on the export of oil - Facility and Personnel Violence score assesses the presence of various threats to both energy company personnel and facilities - Ministerial/Policy Volatility score measures the risk of frequent or unpredictable changes in government policies and/or sector leadership affecting oil production and/or exports - Labor Unrest measures the risk of changes to work force **Use cases** - Risk Analysis - Using a multi-factor risk profile for each country, understand the overall risks to the oil supply chain and potential impacts on price - Sentiment Analysis - Utilize metrics from S&P perspectives on oil & gas activities that impact supply chain for oil **Product details** Sample Tables: A ) COUNTRY_SCORES B ) COUNTRY_TOTAL_SCORES Sample Fields: A ) COUNTRY_SCORES RISK_SCORE_ID SCORING_DATE POLITICAL_VIOLENCE GEOPOLITICAL_RISK EXPORT_RISK MINISTERIAL_POLICY_VOLATILITY FACILITY_AND_PERSONNEL_VIOLENCE LABOR_UNREST OVERALL_COUNTRY_PRICE_RISK CRUDE_CAPACITY GLOBAL_CAPACITY INDUSTRY_SHOCK GLOBAL_PRICE_RISK COUNTRY B ) COUNTRY_TOTAL_SCORES RISK_SCORE_ID SCORING_DATE TOTAL_GLOBAL_PRICE_RISK TOTAL_GLOBAL_PRICE_RISK_NORMALISED View Descriptions: - COUNTRY_SCORES - Get Oil Supply risk country scores - COUNTRY_TOTAL_SCORES - Get Oil Supply risk country total scores - CRUDESUPPLYRISK_DICTIONARY - Contains descriptions and examples of each of the columns in the above views for a better understanding of the dataset

搜集汇总

背景与挑战

背景概述

该数据集每周评估原油供应变化对价格的影响，基于国家层面的六个风险因素（包括政治暴力、地缘政治风险、出口风险等）计算分数，并按国家原油产能加权汇总为全球价格风险指数。数据集提供国家分数和总分视图，支持风险分析与情绪分析等应用。