DVRPC 2050 Population & Employment Forecasts, & Zonal Data (County) version 1
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As a part of DVRPC’s long-range planning activities, the Commission is required to maintain forecasts with at least a 20-year horizon, or to the horizon year of the long-range plan. Allocation of growth is forecasted using a land use model, UrbanSim, and working closely with member county planning staffs. DVRPC has prepared regional, county, and municipal-level population and employment forecasts in five-year increments through 2050, using 2015 Census population estimates and 2015 National Establishments Time Series (NETS) employment data as the base. A forthcoming Analytical Data Report will document the forecasting process and methodologies. This data provides the county-level forecast. Note: while 2019 land use model results are provided, the forecast was only adopted for 2015, 2020, 2025, 2030, 2035, 2040, 2045, and 2050.
作为德拉瓦河谷区域规划委员会(Delaware Valley Regional Planning Commission,DVRPC)长期规划活动的组成部分,该委员会需编制至少20年跨度的预测数据,或直至长期规划的目标年限。增长分配预测采用土地利用模型UrbanSim开展,并与各成员县的规划工作人员紧密协作完成。DVRPC以2015年人口普查(Census)人口估计数据及2015年全国机构时间序列(National Establishments Time Series,NETS)就业数据为基准,编制了截至2050年、以五年为间隔的区域、县及市级层面的人口与就业预测数据。即将发布的《分析数据报告》将对本次预测的流程与方法论进行详细说明。本数据集提供县一级的预测结果。注意:尽管本次提供了2019年土地利用模型的运行结果,但仅采用了2015、2020、2025、2030、2035、2040、2045及2050年的预测数据。



