Theories of public policy change, despite their differences, converge on one point of strong agreement. The relationship between policy and its causes can and does change over time. This consensus yie
In dynamic linear models (DLMs) with unknown fixed parameters, a standard Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling strategy is to alternate sampling of latent states conditional on fixed parameters an
aNo change, declined, and improved categories represent trajectories with one pattern; fluctuated categories represent trajectories with both decline and improvement (with either overall decline or an
In dynamic linear models (DLMs) with unknown fixed parameters, a standard Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling strategy is to alternate sampling of latent states conditional on fixed parameters an