<p>Era-based aligned performance on targets in 2021–2024. Aligned intersection across all models in this era yields <i>n</i><sub>aligned</sub> = 23 at <i>h</i> = 1 and <i>n</i><sub>aligned</sub> = 24 at <i>h</i> = 2,3. A higher mean log score indicates better probabilistic accuracy. Coverage is empirical PI coverage; widths are median PI widths.</p>
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Era-based aligned performance on targets in 2021–2024. Aligned intersection across all models in this era yields naligned = 23 at h = 1 and naligned = 24 at h = 2,3. A higher mean log score indicates better probabilistic accuracy. Coverage is empirical PI coverage; widths are median PI widths.
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2026-03-27
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