Uncertainty in Predicted Air Conditioning Types at the Census Tract Level

This dataset contains modeled posterior probabilities for residential air conditioning (AC) types at the U.S. census tract level. While the spatial boundaries reflect tract definitions for 2010, 2015, and 2020, the probabilities are based on predictive models calibrated using housing characteristics from 2021. Unlike prevalence datasets, these layers capture model uncertainty by reporting the mean probability for each AC type within a tract, aggregated from point-level predictions.