Predicted impacts of climate change on wild and commercial berry habitats will have food security, conservation and agricultural implications

Climate change is now a reality and is altering ecosystems, with Canada experiencing 2-4x the global average rate of warming. This will have a critical impact on berry cultivation and horticulture as well as wild, traditional and country food species. Enhancing our understanding of how wild and cultivated berries will be essential to mitigating impacts on ecosystems, culture and food security. Our objective was to predict the impact of climate change on habitat suitability of four berry producing Vaccinium species: two species with primarily northern distributions (V. uliginosum, V. vitis-idaea) and one species with a primarily southern distribution (V. oxycoccos) and the commercially cultivated V. macrocarpon. We used the maximum entropy (maxent) model and the CMIP6 shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs) 126 and 585 projected to 2041-2060 and 2061-2080. Wild species showed a uniform northward progression and expansion of suitable habitat. Our modeling predicts th..., , , , # Predicted impacts of climate change on wild and commercial berry habitats will have food security, conservation and agricultural implications

Dataset DOI: [10.5061/dryad.mw6m905zf](https://doi.org/10.5061/dryad.mw6m905zf)

## Description of the data and file structure

Our objective was to predict the impact of climate change on habitat suitability of four berry producing *Vaccinium* species: two species with primarily northern distributions (*V. uliginosum*, *V. vitis-idaea*) and one species with a primarily southern distribution (*V. oxycoccos*) and the commercially cultivated *V. macrocarpon*. We used the maximum entropy (maxent) model and the CMIP6 shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs) 126 and 585 projected to 2041-2060 and 2061-2080.

### Files and variables

#### File: R-code-climatechangeberries.R

**Description:** The R script used to generate these models is provided in R-code-climatechangeberries.R

#### File: macrocarpon.zip

**Description:** Directory for Vaccinium macroca...