Alternative seafood future scenario modelling

Two growth scenarios for both the plant-based seafood and cell-based seafood subsectors were developed to better understand the subsectors’ potential impact on food and nutrition security and livelihoods in low- and middle-income countries. Informed by a literature review and stakeholder interviews, the scenarios are based on assessing the pace of technological development, the number of businesses entering the market, investment, scalability of production, range of products, and likely demand and target prices针对植物基海鲜（plant-based seafood）与细胞基海鲜（cell-based seafood）两个细分领域，本研究构建了两类增长情景，以更深入地探究这两个细分领域对低收入和中等收入国家粮食与营养安全及民众生计的潜在影响。该情景的构建依托文献综述与利益相关方访谈，其设定基于对技术发展速率、进入市场的企业数量、投资规模、生产可扩展性、产品品类范围，以及潜在需求与目标定价的综合评估。