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A new measure of forecast skill using the Brier score

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NOAA Institutional Repository2024-04-11 更新2026-04-25 收录
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https://repository.library.noaa.gov/view/noaa/33800
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Verification of probability forecasts has been a topic of discussion for many years. One of the most widely used verification scores for probability of precipitation (POP) is the Brier score (Brier, 1950) . A slightly modified version of this score (Sanders, 1963) is used by the National Weather Service (NWS) .
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2024-04-11
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