Urals crude oil price forecast 2024-2027

In 2024, the export price for one barrel of the Urals crude oil was expected to reach 70 U.S. dollars. In the following year, the Russian government expected it to decrease slightly, and in 2027, it was projected to reach 65.5 U.S. dollars per barrel. Urals is Russia's major export oil brand. Crude oil prices in RussiaDifferent types of oil, such as light-weight, low-sulfur (light-sweet) grades and heavier, higher-sulfur (heavy-sour) crudes, can create differences in oil prices. Prices of a barrel of crude oil tend to fluctuate throughout the year due to factors like sulfur content, specific gravity, and location. In recent years, the price of Russian Urals crude oil reached a high of almost 95 U.S. dollars per barrel in February 2022 and a low of 16.6 U.S. dollars per barrel in April 2020. The Urals oil is used as a basis for Russian export oil mixture – a mix of heavy, high-oil from the Urals and Volga region and a light Siberian oil. The oil and gas industry account for a large majority of the country’s export income. Many global sources of crude oil are located in areas that are prone to political upheavals or have production disrupted by political events.Prices of major crude oil blendsIn comparison, the West Texas Intermediate crude oil price was estimated at 79.5 U.S. dollars per barrel in 2024. Furthermore, Dubai Fateh oil prices have fluctuated in the past decade, having reached 82.1 U.S. dollars per barrel in 2023. Prices of petroleum products fluctuate in parallel with crude oil prices but can also depend on seasonality, market factors, or refining outages. Petroleum products like gasoline, diesel, and petrochemical feedstocks are usually the most relevant to consumers.

于2024年，乌拉尔原油每桶的出口价格预计将达到70美元。在次年，俄罗斯政府预期其价格将略有下降，并于2027年预计达到每桶65.5美元。乌拉尔原油是俄罗斯的主要出口油品牌。俄罗斯原油价格因不同类型的原油，如轻质、低硫（轻甜）等级和较重、高硫（重酸）原油而存在差异。原油价格受硫含量、比重和地理位置等因素影响，通常在一年中波动。近年来，俄罗斯乌拉尔原油价格在2022年2月达到每桶近95美元的历史高点，在2020年4月则跌至每桶16.6美元的历史低点。乌拉尔原油作为俄罗斯出口油混合物的基准，该混合物由乌拉尔和伏尔加地区的重质、高油和轻质西伯利亚油混合而成。石油和天然气行业占该国出口收入的大部分。许多全球原油资源位于易受政治动荡影响的地区，或因政治事件而生产中断。与西德克萨斯中质原油价格相比，2024年其价格预计为每桶79.5美元。此外，迪拜费特石油价格在过去十年中波动不定，在2023年达到每桶82.1美元。石油产品价格与原油价格同步波动，但也可能受季节性、市场因素或炼油厂停工等因素影响。汽油、柴油和石化原料等石油产品通常与消费者最为相关。