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Replication Data for: Forecasting the 2020 Electoral College Winner: The State Presidential Approval/State Economy Model

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NIAID Data Ecosystem2026-03-12 收录
下载链接:
https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/ADMBN9
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资源简介:
To forecast the 2020 Electoral College winner, we develop a model of two-party Democratic vote share in each state (plus Washington DC) based primarily on each state's presidential approval ratings and economic conditions. 104 days before the election, our model forecasts about a 4 in 10 chance that Donald Trump is re-elected and about a 6 in 10 chance that Joe Biden is the next president.
创建时间:
2020-08-27
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