Designing fan charts for GDP growth forecasts to better reflect downturn risks
收藏Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development2026-04-11 收录
下载链接：
https://www.oecd.org/en/publications/designing-fan-charts-for-gdp-growth-forecasts-to-better-reflect-downturn-risks_e86f1bfc-en.html
下载链接
链接失效反馈官方服务：
资源简介：
Forecasts of GDP growth are typically over-optimistic for horizons beyond the current year, particularly because they fail to predict the occurrence or severity of future downturns. Macroeconomic forecasters have also long been under pressure to convey the uncertainty surrounding their forecasts, particularly since the financial crisis. The...
