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Uncertainty and Business Cycles: Exogenous Impulse or Endogenous Response?

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NBER2015-12-01 更新2025-01-04 收录
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Uncertainty about the future rises in recessions. But is uncertainty a source of business cycles or an endogenous response to them, and does the type of uncertainty matter? We propose a novel SVAR identification strategy to address these questions via inequality constraints on the structural shocks.

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2015-12-01
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