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Identifying Monetary Policy Shocks: A Natural Language Approach

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NBER2024-05-01 更新2025-01-04 收录
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We develop a novel method for the identification of monetary policy shocks. By applying natural language processing techniques to documents that Federal Reserve staff prepare in advance of policy decisions, we capture the Fed's information set. Using machine learning techniques, we then predict

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2024-05-01
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