Production of seasonal to decadal hindcasts and climate change scenarios

The ENSEMBLES project (contract number GOCE-CT-2003-505539) is supported by the European Commission"s 6th Framework Programme as a 5 year Integrated Project from 2004-2009 under the Thematic Sub-Priority "Global Change and Ecosystems".
The project aims to develop an ensemble prediction system for climate change based on the principal state-of-the-art, high resolution, global and regional Earth System models developed in Europe, validated against quality controlled, high resolution gridded datasets for Europe, to produce for the first time, an objective probabilistic estimate of uncertainty in future climate at the seasonal to decadal and longer timescales.
ENSEMBLES homepage: http://www.ensembles-eu.org/
The first data stream (2006) consists of data of scenarios which mostly were calculated for the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report (AR4) (http://www.ipcc.ch/about/about.htm). Stored are global GCM scenario data, monthly mean and daily mean values in netCDF-format for these emission scenarios: SRESA2, SRESA1B, SRESB1, 1PCTTO2x, 1PCTTO4X, 20C3M (http://www.grida.no/climate/ipcc/spmpdf/sres-e.pdf) provided by the following centres(-models): IPSL(_CM4), CNRM(-CM3), MPI(-ECHAM5),BCCR(-BCM2), UKMO(-HADCM3), UKMO(-HADGEM1), FUB(-EGMAM), DMI(-ECHAM5).

ENSEMBLES项目（合同编号GOCE-CT-2003-505539）由欧洲委员会第六框架计划资助，自2004年至2009年作为为期五年的综合项目执行，该项目隶属于“全球变化与生态系统”主题次优先级。该项目的宗旨在于构建一个基于欧洲开发的最先进、高分辨率、全球及区域地球系统模型的集成预测系统，以经过质量控制的高分辨率网格数据集对欧洲地区进行验证，从而首次实现未来气候在季节至十年及更长时间尺度上的客观概率不确定性估计。ENSEMBLES项目主页：http://www.ensembles-eu.org/。首个数据流（2006年）包含了主要为IPCC第四次评估报告（AR4）（http://www.ipcc.ch/about/about.htm）计算的场景数据。存储了全球GCM场景数据，以netCDF格式保存的月平均和日平均值，包括以下中心（模型）提供的排放情景：SRESA2、SRESA1B、SRESB1、1PCTTO2x、1PCTTO4X、20C3M（http://www.grida.no/climate/ipcc/spmpdf/sres-e.pdf）：IPSL(_CM4)、CNRM(-CM3)、MPI(-ECHAM5)、BCCR(-BCM2)、UKMO(-HADCM3)、UKMO(-HADGEM1)、FUB(-EGMAM)、DMI(-ECHAM5)。