Data for: The impact of a social program on labor informality: The case of AUH in Argentina

Abstract of associated article: The recent Universal Child Allowance program in Argentina provides monthly cash transfers to unregistered workers with children. As the program is accessible only to those who are not in formal employment, it may discourage workers' transitions to the formal sector. In this paper we estimate this effect by comparing the transitions to registered jobs of eligible workers (with children) with a similar but not eligible group (without children) over time. The results suggest a statistically significant and economically large disincentive to the labor market formalization of the program beneficiaries. In contrast, there is no sufficient evidence for the existence of a significant incentive for registered workers to become informal.关联论文摘要：阿根廷近期推出的普遍儿童津贴计划（Universal Child Allowance）为有子女的非正规就业劳动者提供月度现金补助。由于该计划仅面向非正规就业群体开放，或会抑制劳动者向正规部门流转。本文通过对比随时间推移，符合申领条件（有子女）的劳动者与条件相似但不符合条件（无子女）群体的正规就业岗位流转情况，估算该计划的影响效应。研究结果显示，该计划对受益者的劳动力市场正规化存在统计学意义显著且经济影响规模可观的抑制作用。与之相对，尚无充分证据表明该计划对正规就业劳动者转向非正规就业存在显著激励效应。