Probability forecasts possible dangerous weather

Probability forecasts for possible dangerous weather, based on weather model output from the ECMWF atmospheric ensemble model. Probabilities are uncalibrated. Available are forcast for elements like: wind, temperature, precipitation, thunderstorms and fog (visibility). For every element one or multiple threshold may be available (e.g. wind 75 km/h). The forecasts are provided on a gridded basis with a single probability per day up to 14 days ahead.

本数据集基于欧洲中期天气预报中心（ECMWF）大气集合模型的气象模型输出，提供可能危险天气的概率预报。预报概率未经校准。数据包括风速、温度、降水量、雷暴和雾（能见度）等要素的预报。针对每个要素，可能存在一个或多个阈值（例如风速为75公里/小时）。预报以网格化形式提供，每日提供一个概率，预测范围可达14天。